Mariners Analysis

Wednesday, November 10, 2004

Don't be surprised by Sexson rumors

While we all sit and wait for the Free Agent signings to begin, many M's fans have been wondering if the Sexson rumors are true. Let's look at what we know-

  • Carlos Beltran will likely be a Yankee, and was never going to sign with the Mariners
  • Beltre will never sign with the M's
  • Delgado is an interesting choice, but you will have to overspend to get him
  • All other free agents come with serious concerns (age, injury etc...)


Look, Bavasi is no dummy. He knows as well as you and I do there is less than a 1% chance that either Beltran or Beltre would choose the M's. He HAS to have a plan B.

The problem with plan B is of course it is simply never as as good on paper as plan A. The Glaus' and Sexson's of the world carry nice upside, but plenty of risk as well. The only way you sign a player like that is if you are desperate or have money to throw around- the M's are more the former right now I'm afraid.

Are the Sexson rumors true? It wouldn't shock me if this was leaked by the M's to gauge public interest. It has happened plenty of times before. But the idea that Bavasi already has the parameters of a contract with his agent before we even know the health of the player would REALLY suprise me. Remember Mo? Bavasi sure does!!

There is no way Bavasi signs a player like Sexson as his First choice. Sexson is the guy you fall back on. I mean, why in the world would Bavasi sign Sexson right now without even talking with Glaus? At least Troy hit seven home runs in September- who knows what Sexson's shoulder looks like without a physical.

If the M's really do have deal with Sexson all sown up, then this next season is DOOMED. He is a risky, small upgrade for the M's. Is he $10 million better than Bucky? I'd say Sexson would be hard pressed to hit more than 10 home runs over Bucky's total. Concentrating on Sexson when you have no center fielder, no 3rd baseman and a two catchers who can't hit just makes zero sense to me.

Let's hope we aren't forced to write about Sexson at first base next week as our first free agent signing, or Bavasi is dumber than I ever imagined.

At this point, I'm still giving him the benefit of the doubt.