Mariners Analysis

Tuesday, December 14, 2004

Red Sox lucky Martinez is gone

A few years from now, we'll look back at this off season and remember all the "old guy" signings. And the poster child for this will likely be Pedro Martinez.

For the Mets to give an aging superstar like Pedro the kind of money they did says more about the sad state of the Mets then it does baseball. It is simply stupid, stupid baseball. I'm just not sure who is more stupid- the Mets FO or Pedro.

This will end badly- there will be no Cy Young awards for Pedro. The over/under line for trips to the DL during the contract should be 5. I would guess he'll get traded during a deadline to a team who needs 5+ innings every 7 days to make the playoffs, with the Mets paying a good portion of the salary remaining.

Now the interesting part will be watching what Theo does with all the money he has just been given. The Red Sox starting pitching is simply not that good right now- if I were Bavasi, I would be watching as well to see what the WS champs do to shore up a starting rotation.

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Meanwhile, don't read much into the Orioles rumors regarding Sexson. The reason is simple- Sexson WANTS to come to Seattle. He'll make it happen.

Unless something really, really strange happens, the trade will go through. We should have offical word any time now.