Mariners Analysis

Thursday, January 06, 2005

Shawn Green and Beltran

We are now hearing reports Shawn Green is balking at signing a contract extension with Arizona. Big surprise. This is similar to what we are seeing with Carlos Delgado. Arizona's offer for an additional two years at $8 mil per season is simply insulting to poor old Shawn.

Simply, once a player gets used to earning a certain amount, they sure don't like making less. It's human nature of course, but it creates for me a small amount of satisfaction when someone is mistakenly overpaid and then they are unable to see why they should ever take a pay cut. Green is simply not worth $16 million this year, but that's what he'll get paid. Based on his future numbers, there is no reason to think he would get even JD Drew money if he were a FA this year.

So when Arizona offers him an additional $16 million for two years, Green is basically getting $32 million for the next three years. But he doesn't see it this way- to him, he is getting a 50% pay cut to $8 million/yr, and is having a hard time with it.

If LA is forced to take back Green because a deal can't be made, a certain LA GM will have had one of the worst winters we've seen since.... Oh, I don't know, last year here in Seattle?

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Regarding Beltran and Yankees, don't believe reports that the Yanks aren't interested in signing him. Of course they want him, but even they have limits. The are being smart and are trying to counteract Boras, who wants teams to be bidding against themselves.

The Yanks want Beltran to collect the highest bid he can get, and then the Yankees will finally exceed it by a nominal amount. They want Belran to sign with them once they do. What they don't want is for Boras to take their offer and shop it to the Mets and Astros.

Which is exactly what Boras wants to do.

We'll see who wins this game in the next two days, as the Saturday deadline looms.