Mariners Analysis

Friday, July 22, 2005

Winn only has value at trade deadline

If you think Winn is a redundant piece on this team, then you'd better hope Bavasi trades him now. Otherwise, the odds plummet on actually getting something in return this winter.

Winn has known problems as an outfielder. He doesn't hit for power. His arm is weak. He is at best a decent defensive CF, and has been known to take strange paths to the ball. It is unlikely a GM will be rebuilding his team this offseason and thinks Winn is the finaly piece of the puzzle. It is HIGHLY unlikely an offseason trade results in quality prospects back for Winn.

However, when a team is in a pennant race, all bets are off. Is Winn better than Bernie in CF if you are the Yankees? Of course. Is Winn able to fill in while a star outfielder is nursing an injury? Absolutely.

So if the M's are going to get anything of value for Winn, they'd better trade him now. It's simple. Winn in summer = hot. Winn in winter = cold.

I hope Bavasi can remember that.