Mariners Analysis

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Not much news in Mariner land

I think most of us are simply waiting for the season to begin. Whether the team carries Bloomquist and Cairo, or what becomes of Morse... those are minor questions in the big picture. It's hard to see them being the difference between making the playoffs or not.

And any serious fan knows spring training doesn't mean much. We know how awful George pitched last spring and then he became one of the best set-up men in baseball when the games counted. Some guys are working on things, getting their timing established etc... and the actual numbers are not that important.

This is a key point, and it's one the team often struggles with. For example, if Jeremy Reed had a great spring and outhit Ichiro, you wouldn't pencil in Reed on opening day because the sample size is too small. The track record of Ichiro is too vast, and you don't make decisions based on a few meaningless games.

In the same way, you can't judge an Adam Jones on 60 meaningless at-bats sprinkled during a call up. Just like you can't see a hitter have a 5-10 hitting sample against a pitcher and then start making serious lineup decisions.

Fans struggle with sample size, and so does the FO at times. If these games really mattered, Bedard and his 8.00 ERA would not be your opening day starter. Felix would. But we've already covered the politics of that decision.

The biggest concern with this team?

The offense.

Second biggest concern?


The team has shown little/no interest in fixing either one this spring, so we are left with waiting for opening day.

It can't come soon enough.